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Red47
583015.1
482118.7
371420.9
Blue77
191519.2
593618.2
68633.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527802040601001201404777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3714
#34
20.90.7
20.620.0
Auto5.9
Teleop11.9
End3.0
blue by 12.3
686
#5
33.10.7
34.133.5
Auto11.0
Teleop18.5
End3.7
Second
4821
#16
18.70.5
20.119.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End3.1
blue by 0.5
1915
#27
19.20.7
18.317.6
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End3.2
Third
5830
#39
15.10.5
13.813.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End2.7
blue by 3.1
5936
#37
18.20.7
19.719.0
Auto7.4
Teleop7.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsMissed61%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed