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Red54
451417.4
394122.1
242123.8
Blue87
450526.1
113731.2
138928.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63902040801001201405487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.7
23.422.7
Auto5.7
Teleop14.4
End3.6
blue by 7.4
31.20.3
30.731.0
Auto9.6
Teleop16.0
End5.6
Second
3941
#26
22.10.7
22.621.9
Auto6.1
Teleop13.1
End2.9
blue by 6.3
1389
#15
28.40.3
24.925.2
Auto8.4
Teleop17.0
End3.0
Third
4514
#32
17.40.7
18.918.2
Auto6.2
Teleop10.4
End0.8
blue by 8.7
4505
#11
26.10.3
27.427.7
Auto8.1
Teleop12.7
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsMissed95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed