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Red64
621317.6
597919.3
112321.7
Blue70
371420.9
242123.8
191519.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61632040801006470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1123
#22
21.70.0
21.021.0
Auto8.7
Teleop10.1
End2.9
blue by 2.1
23.80.6
22.723.3
Auto5.7
Teleop14.4
End3.6
Second
5979
#36
19.30.0
19.419.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End3.7
blue by 1.5
3714
#34
20.90.7
20.220.9
Auto5.9
Teleop11.9
End3.0
Third
6213
#35
17.60.0
19.219.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End2.4
blue by 1.6
1915
#27
19.20.6
18.118.7
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsMissed58%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed