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Red69
394122.1
583015.1
594524.3
Blue89
237729.2
219922.1
482118.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60712040801001206989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5945
#30
24.30.6
23.724.3
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End4.7
blue by 4.9
2377
#14
29.21.5
27.528.9
Auto6.6
Teleop16.1
End6.5
Second
3941
#26
22.10.6
21.922.5
Auto6.1
Teleop13.1
End2.9
Level
2199
#25
22.11.5
20.622.1
Auto6.6
Teleop12.7
End2.8
Third
5830
#39
15.10.6
14.515.1
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End2.7
blue by 3.6
4821
#16
18.71.5
19.020.5
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed