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Red90
252830.7
583015.1
338929.4
Blue76
597919.3
113731.2
413721.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions767201002003004009076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2528
#18
30.70.8
30.431.2
Auto7.7
Teleop17.0
End6.0
blue by 0.4
31.20.4
30.330.7
Auto9.6
Teleop16.0
End5.6
Second
29.40.8
29.430.2
Auto9.8
Teleop13.8
End5.8
red by 7.8
4137
#13
21.60.4
21.521.9
Auto8.0
Teleop9.3
End4.4
Third
5830
#39
15.10.8
13.013.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End2.7
blue by 4.3
5979
#36
19.30.4
18.518.9
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed