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Red138
162934.8
83638.3
394122.1
Blue116
62330.4
88830.3
138928.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11911050100150200138116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#1
38.30.0
38.038.0
Auto12.9
Teleop20.5
End4.9
red by 8.0
623
#10
30.40.0
30.630.6
Auto5.0
Teleop17.0
End8.4
Second
34.80.0
34.534.4
Auto10.6
Teleop19.4
End4.8
red by 4.5
888
#8
30.30.0
30.530.5
Auto8.0
Teleop16.4
End5.9
Third
3941
#26
22.10.0
21.721.7
Auto6.1
Teleop13.1
End2.9
blue by 6.3
1389
#15
28.40.0
28.628.7
Auto8.4
Teleop17.0
End3.0