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Red142
12544.2
16633.7
455526.6
Blue116
264835.3
490634.4
360921.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1281086080100120140160180200142116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#10
44.20.4
42.943.3
Auto16.3
Teleop24.2
End3.7
red by 8.9
2648
#15
35.30.1
35.435.3
Auto10.5
Teleop21.2
End3.5
Second
166
#3
33.70.4
32.432.8
Auto9.8
Teleop19.2
End4.7
blue by 0.7
34.40.1
34.534.4
Auto6.2
Teleop24.6
End3.6
Third
4555
#17
26.60.4
25.325.7
Auto7.3
Teleop15.7
End3.7
red by 5.6
3609
#32
21.00.1
21.121.0
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End4.1