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Red22
526513.8
495816.6
359717.9
Blue45
622420.2
492520.5
547115.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4561020801001202245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3597
#34
17.91.9
13.711.7
Auto7.4
Teleop8.3
End2.2
blue by 2.7
4925
#22
20.51.2
20.319.1
Auto1.9
Teleop14.6
End4.1
Second
4958
#37
16.61.9
18.216.2
Auto5.6
Teleop10.1
End0.9
blue by 3.6
6224
#31
20.21.2
23.322.1
Auto6.2
Teleop10.7
End3.3
Third
5265
#39
13.81.9
14.312.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End1.2
blue by 1.8
5471
#35
15.61.2
14.613.4
Auto2.7
Teleop11.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
15%Breach oddsMissed52%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed