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Red71
393031.6
404217.5
616124.8
Blue84
590226.7
16633.7
252318.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74702004006008001,0001,2001,4001,6007184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3930
#20
31.60.1
30.730.6
Auto9.5
Teleop16.9
End5.2
blue by 2.1
166
#3
33.70.8
25.326.1
Auto9.8
Teleop19.2
End4.7
Second
6161
#25
24.80.1
21.021.0
Auto10.4
Teleop11.2
End3.2
blue by 1.9
5902
#19
26.70.8
21.121.9
Auto7.9
Teleop16.1
End2.6
Third
4042
#40
17.50.1
20.520.4
Auto6.2
Teleop8.5
End2.8
blue by 0.5
2523
#38
18.00.8
20.120.9
Auto7.8
Teleop7.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsMissed74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed