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Red112
151954.7
550621.6
352520.9
Blue100
512232.2
31938.7
568738.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86117204060100140160180112100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.71.8
46.548.2
Auto18.3
Teleop29.8
End6.7
red by 16.0
319
#5
38.70.5
39.338.8
Auto8.0
Teleop23.8
End6.9
Second
5506
#28
21.61.8
20.422.1
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End3.4
blue by 16.9
38.50.5
37.537.0
Auto10.6
Teleop23.5
End4.4
Third
3525
#24
20.91.8
18.920.6
Auto9.6
Teleop8.9
End2.4
blue by 11.4
5122
#21
32.20.5
31.030.5
Auto9.0
Teleop18.4
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned8%Capture oddsEarned