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Red58
71625.1
66326.2
404217.5
Blue78
568738.5
563327.3
455526.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66902040801001201401605878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
663
#26
26.20.7
25.024.3
Auto7.5
Teleop15.8
End2.9
blue by 12.3
38.50.3
37.637.3
Auto10.6
Teleop23.5
End4.4
Second
716
#30
25.10.7
24.323.6
Auto7.8
Teleop14.6
End2.6
blue by 2.3
5633
#16
27.30.3
21.521.2
Auto6.6
Teleop15.6
End5.1
Third
4042
#40
17.50.7
18.718.0
Auto6.2
Teleop8.5
End2.8
blue by 9.2
4555
#17
26.60.3
23.523.2
Auto7.3
Teleop15.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsMissed76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed