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Red63
495816.6
575224.6
447332.7
Blue63
590226.7
358512.8
393031.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74690501001506363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4473
#12
32.7
Auto10.8
Teleop16.2
End5.7
red by 1.0
3930
#20
31.6
Auto9.5
Teleop16.9
End5.2
Second
5752
#29
24.6
Auto7.0
Teleop12.1
End5.5
blue by 2.1
5902
#19
26.7
Auto7.9
Teleop16.1
End2.6
Third
4958
#37
16.6
Auto5.6
Teleop10.1
End0.9
red by 3.8
3585
#36
12.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsMissed72%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed