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Red75
454632.3
252318.0
352520.9
Blue115
71625.1
404121.9
151954.7
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6710620408012014016075115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.30.1
31.531.5
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End4.6
blue by 22.4
54.71.0
49.450.3
Auto18.3
Teleop29.8
End6.7
Second
3525
#24
20.90.1
20.420.3
Auto9.6
Teleop8.9
End2.4
blue by 4.2
716
#30DQ
25.11.0
23.624.6
Auto7.8
Teleop14.6
End2.6
Third
2523
#38
18.00.1
18.918.8
Auto7.8
Teleop7.9
End2.2
blue by 3.9
4041
#27
21.91.0
22.423.3
Auto8.1
Teleop10.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsMissed