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Red101
23048.4
71625.1
568738.5
Blue72
512232.2
495816.6
393031.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116765010015010172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#11
48.40.3
44.844.5
Auto12.3
Teleop32.2
End3.9
red by 16.2
5122
#21
32.20.5
28.728.1
Auto9.0
Teleop18.4
End4.9
Second
38.50.3
36.636.3
Auto10.6
Teleop23.5
End4.4
red by 6.9
3930
#20
31.60.5
32.932.4
Auto9.5
Teleop16.9
End5.2
Third
716
#30
25.10.3
24.624.3
Auto7.8
Teleop14.6
End2.6
red by 8.5
4958
#37
16.60.5
18.517.9
Auto5.6
Teleop10.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsMissed86%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed