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Red48
358512.8
66326.2
550621.6
Blue60
590226.7
192222.5
526513.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59632040801004860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
663
#26
26.20.7
25.524.8
Auto7.5
Teleop15.8
End2.9
blue by 0.5
5902
#19
26.70.0
23.823.8
Auto7.9
Teleop16.1
End2.6
Second
5506
#28
21.60.7
21.320.6
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End3.4
blue by 0.9
1922
#33
22.50.0
22.522.4
Auto6.3
Teleop12.4
End3.7
Third
3585
#36
12.80.7
11.911.2
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End0.7
blue by 1.0
5265
#39
13.80.0
14.414.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsMissed39%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed