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Red131
447332.7
512232.2
456448.8
Blue30
495816.6
404217.5
404121.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12150010015013130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.80.6
47.548.1
Auto11.1
Teleop28.7
End9.0
red by 26.9
4041
#27
21.92.0
24.022.0
Auto8.1
Teleop10.0
End3.7
Second
4473
#12
32.70.6
31.932.5
Auto10.8
Teleop16.2
End5.7
red by 15.2
4042
#40
17.52.0
17.515.6
Auto6.2
Teleop8.5
End2.8
Third
5122
#21
32.20.6
28.128.7
Auto9.0
Teleop18.4
End4.9
red by 15.7
4958
#37
16.62.0
17.916.0
Auto5.6
Teleop10.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed