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Red149
277145.7
421633.3
500822.2
Blue92
610130.5
506727.9
552425.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134103608012016018014992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.70.2
45.846.0
Auto10.2
Teleop32.4
End3.0
red by 15.1
6101
#14
30.50.3
30.930.6
Auto7.2
Teleop19.5
End3.9
Second
33.30.2
33.533.6
Auto10.9
Teleop17.0
End5.4
red by 5.5
5067
#12
27.90.3
28.227.9
Auto6.7
Teleop17.5
End3.7
Third
5008
#32
22.20.2
22.422.5
Auto7.4
Teleop9.7
End5.1
blue by 3.6
5524
#15
25.80.3
26.125.9
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End4.2