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Red120
353635.6
439530.8
615021.1
Blue70
520527.0
609328.8
569725.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10410005015020012070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3536
#10
35.60.3
35.435.7
Auto11.6
Teleop19.5
End4.4
red by 6.8
28.80.3
29.028.7
Auto11.8
Teleop12.1
End4.9
Second
30.80.3
30.630.9
Auto8.6
Teleop15.8
End6.4
red by 3.8
5205
#17
27.00.3
27.226.9
Auto7.4
Teleop14.4
End5.2
Third
6150
#18
21.10.3
21.021.2
Auto7.5
Teleop11.1
End2.5
blue by 4.1
5697
#24
25.30.3
25.425.2
Auto9.5
Teleop11.0
End4.8