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Red127
345237.7
323433.4
590123.8
Blue106
150424.8
585325.6
519429.1
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12397406080140160180127106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.70.0
38.338.3
Auto9.6
Teleop23.9
End4.1
red by 8.5
5194
#13
29.10.1
29.229.1
Auto10.0
Teleop15.8
End3.4
Second
33.40.0
34.034.0
Auto9.3
Teleop15.4
End8.6
red by 7.8
5853
#11
25.60.1
25.725.6
Auto8.3
Teleop12.4
End4.9
Third
5901
#23
23.80.0
24.424.4
Auto9.4
Teleop9.4
End4.9
blue by 1.0
1504
#27
24.80.1
24.924.8
Auto10.6
Teleop11.0
End3.2