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Red66
521515.7
439530.8
332220.9
Blue95
345237.7
222414.9
450714.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62663040507080901006695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.0
26.326.3
Auto8.6
Teleop15.8
End6.4
blue by 6.9
37.72.1
36.538.6
Auto9.6
Teleop23.9
End4.1
Second
3322
#30
20.90.0
17.417.4
Auto5.8
Teleop13.0
End2.0
red by 6.0
2224
#33
14.92.1
14.316.4
Auto2.5
Teleop10.2
End2.2
Third
5215
#39
15.70.0
16.716.8
Auto7.5
Teleop7.2
End1.0
red by 1.1
4507
#31
14.62.1
12.614.7
Auto0.6
Teleop12.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed41%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed