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Red79
585325.6
222414.9
557719.9
Blue92
609614.0
521515.7
277145.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions518402040601001201401607992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5853
#11
25.61.6
21.923.5
Auto8.3
Teleop12.4
End4.9
blue by 20.1
45.70.3
48.147.8
Auto10.2
Teleop32.4
End3.0
Second
5577
#28
19.91.6
16.117.8
Auto7.7
Teleop9.7
End2.5
red by 4.2
5215
#39
15.70.3
16.816.5
Auto7.5
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Third
2224
#33
14.91.6
16.418.1
Auto2.5
Teleop10.2
End2.2
red by 0.9
6096
#37
14.00.3
12.111.8
Auto2.1
Teleop10.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsMissed