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Red61
585325.6
610130.5
609328.8
Blue68
439530.8
619030.7
506510.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7473657075806168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6101
#14
30.50.7
24.824.1
Auto7.2
Teleop19.5
End3.9
blue by 0.2
30.80.9
27.026.1
Auto8.6
Teleop15.8
End6.4
Second
28.80.7
25.024.3
Auto11.8
Teleop12.1
End4.9
blue by 1.9
30.71.0
29.428.4
Auto10.1
Teleop15.6
End4.9
Third
5853
#11
25.60.7
21.821.1
Auto8.3
Teleop12.4
End4.9
red by 15.1
5065
#40
10.50.9
14.914.0
Auto3.2
Teleop6.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed