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Red72
610130.5
485116.5
450714.6
Blue75
557719.9
569725.3
485411.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635102040801001201401607275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6101
#14
30.50.5
28.929.4
Auto7.2
Teleop19.5
End3.9
red by 5.3
5697
#24
25.31.2
22.723.9
Auto9.5
Teleop11.0
End4.8
Second
4851
#29
16.50.5
16.116.6
Auto4.5
Teleop10.9
End1.1
blue by 3.5
5577
#28
19.91.2
16.818.0
Auto7.7
Teleop9.7
End2.5
Third
4507
#31
14.60.5
14.414.9
Auto0.6
Teleop12.5
End1.4
red by 3.4
4854
#35
11.21.2
12.013.2
Auto6.9
Teleop3.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
67%Breach oddsEarned32%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed