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Red86
421633.3
520426.8
450714.6
Blue82
590123.8
610130.5
615021.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions717440506080901001101208682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.31.1
30.932.0
Auto10.9
Teleop17.0
End5.4
red by 2.8
6101
#14
30.50.7
29.430.1
Auto7.2
Teleop19.5
End3.9
Second
26.81.1
23.824.9
Auto7.5
Teleop11.0
End8.3
red by 3.0
5901
#23
23.80.7
22.723.4
Auto9.4
Teleop9.4
End4.9
Third
4507
#31
14.61.1
14.916.0
Auto0.6
Teleop12.5
End1.4
blue by 6.5
6150
#18
21.10.7
19.220.0
Auto7.5
Teleop11.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed