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Red77
619030.7
222414.9
553524.6
Blue88
609614.0
150424.8
323433.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7573204060801001207788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.3
32.132.4
Auto10.1
Teleop15.6
End4.9
blue by 2.7
33.40.8
33.734.5
Auto9.3
Teleop15.4
End8.6
Second
5535
#25
24.60.3
22.622.9
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End5.3
blue by 0.2
1504
#27
24.80.8
24.124.9
Auto10.6
Teleop11.0
End3.2
Third
2224
#33
14.90.3
17.617.9
Auto2.5
Teleop10.2
End2.2
red by 0.9
6096
#37
14.00.8
13.314.1
Auto2.1
Teleop10.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed