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Red86
332220.9
620823.9
345237.7
Blue79
609221.0
421633.3
557719.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions836802040601001201408679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.70.5
36.637.1
Auto9.6
Teleop23.9
End4.1
red by 4.3
33.30.7
32.032.7
Auto10.9
Teleop17.0
End5.4
Second
6208
#26
23.90.5
22.923.4
Auto8.0
Teleop11.8
End4.1
red by 2.9
6092
#19
21.00.7
18.219.0
Auto5.8
Teleop11.1
End4.1
Third
3322
#30
20.90.5
19.119.6
Auto5.8
Teleop13.0
End2.0
red by 1.0
5577
#28
19.90.7
18.018.7
Auto7.7
Teleop9.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed