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Red77
605316.4
609614.0
619030.7
Blue97
277145.7
500822.2
552322.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions561012040801201407797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.7
32.433.1
Auto10.1
Teleop15.6
End4.9
blue by 14.9
45.70.4
47.047.4
Auto10.2
Teleop32.4
End3.0
Second
6053
#21
16.40.7
14.815.5
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End4.0
blue by 5.9
5523
#20
22.30.4
22.623.0
Auto4.7
Teleop13.8
End3.9
Third
6096
#37
14.00.7
14.114.8
Auto2.1
Teleop10.2
End1.7
blue by 8.3
5008
#32
22.20.4
21.722.0
Auto7.4
Teleop9.7
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsMissed