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Red80
590123.8
553524.6
557719.9
Blue146
6627.2
439530.8
345237.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions619820408012014016080146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5535
#25
24.61.0
23.124.1
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End5.3
blue by 13.1
37.71.1
37.138.2
Auto9.6
Teleop23.9
End4.1
Second
5901
#23
23.81.0
23.224.2
Auto9.4
Teleop9.4
End4.9
blue by 7.0
30.81.1
29.730.8
Auto8.6
Teleop15.8
End6.4
Third
5577
#28
19.91.0
18.719.7
Auto7.7
Teleop9.7
End2.5
blue by 7.3
66
#16
27.21.1
23.424.4
Auto7.0
Teleop16.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed8%Capture oddsEarned