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Red132
360439.4
317531.1
611623.2
Blue98
521726.4
553126.5
514425.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1109840608012014016018013298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.40.2
37.637.8
Auto9.4
Teleop21.1
End8.9
red by 12.9
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto7.9
Teleop13.6
End5.0
Second
31.10.2
29.329.5
Auto6.2
Teleop19.1
End5.9
red by 4.7
5217
#15
26.40.0
26.426.4
Auto10.1
Teleop12.3
End4.0
Third
6116
#20
23.20.2
21.421.6
Auto7.3
Teleop11.3
End4.6
blue by 2.4
5144
#19
25.60.0
25.625.6
Auto7.2
Teleop14.3
End4.1