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Red74
509030.2
601322.5
552714.8
Blue42
613614.4
438023.9
377324.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585902040801007442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.21.2
25.827.0
Auto6.6
Teleop17.8
End5.7
red by 5.6
3773
#31
24.61.0
23.122.1
Auto8.8
Teleop13.0
End2.7
Second
6013
#10
22.51.2
19.120.3
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End3.9
blue by 1.3
4380
#16
23.91.0
19.318.3
Auto9.7
Teleop10.1
End4.1
Third
5527
#33
14.81.2
11.312.5
Auto1.8
Teleop11.0
End2.0
red by 0.3
6136
#39
14.41.0
14.513.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned48%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed