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Red91
440521.9
485523.1
360439.4
Blue81
514425.6
552714.8
505040.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757565708085909181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.41.2
34.335.5
Auto9.4
Teleop21.1
End8.9
blue by 1.2
40.70.2
39.639.8
Auto8.1
Teleop27.1
End5.4
Second
4855
#23
23.11.2
20.822.0
Auto7.5
Teleop12.1
End3.5
blue by 2.5
5144
#19
25.60.2
22.222.4
Auto7.2
Teleop14.3
End4.1
Third
4405
#18
21.91.2
17.618.8
Auto9.3
Teleop8.6
End4.0
red by 7.1
5527
#33
14.80.2
11.411.6
Auto1.8
Teleop11.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed