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Red68
509030.2
361915.5
440521.9
Blue59
601322.5
28026.7
568519.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63672040801001206859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.4
28.028.4
Auto6.6
Teleop17.8
End5.7
red by 3.4
280
#34
26.70.4
22.522.2
Auto7.5
Teleop12.0
End7.3
Second
4405
#18
21.90.4
18.819.2
Auto9.3
Teleop8.6
End4.0
blue by 0.6
6013
#10
22.50.4
23.823.4
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End3.9
Third
3619
#25
15.50.4
15.215.6
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End2.0
blue by 4.3
5685
#37
19.80.4
18.317.9
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned31%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed