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Red62
521726.4
361915.5
601921.7
Blue70
501420.4
152819.9
485523.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65582040801001201406270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5217
#15
26.40.0
24.724.7
Auto10.1
Teleop12.3
End4.0
red by 3.3
4855
#23
23.10.8
20.120.9
Auto7.5
Teleop12.1
End3.5
Second
6019
#29
21.70.0
20.620.6
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End2.7
red by 1.3
5014
#27
20.40.8
17.218.0
Auto6.4
Teleop9.3
End4.6
Third
3619
#25
15.50.0
16.916.9
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End2.0
blue by 4.4
1528
#11
19.90.8
20.120.9
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsEarned40%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed