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Red82
354235.8
546715.4
601322.5
Blue77
521726.4
577424.2
485523.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70680204060801001201408277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.80.9
33.134.1
Auto9.2
Teleop16.5
End10.2
red by 9.4
5217
#15
26.40.7
24.725.4
Auto10.1
Teleop12.3
End4.0
Second
6013
#10
22.50.9
22.223.2
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End3.9
blue by 1.7
5774
#30
24.20.7
21.121.8
Auto7.2
Teleop13.8
End3.3
Third
5467
#22
15.40.9
12.413.3
Auto7.2
Teleop6.4
End1.9
blue by 7.7
4855
#23
23.10.7
20.921.6
Auto7.5
Teleop12.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned60%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed