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Red60
608921.7
440521.9
438023.9
Blue85
546715.4
2746.4
361915.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions658320401001201406085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4380
#16
23.90.4
22.822.4
Auto9.7
Teleop10.1
End4.1
blue by 22.5
27
#1
46.40.4
49.049.4
Auto13.0
Teleop28.4
End5.0
Second
4405
#18
21.90.4
22.622.2
Auto9.3
Teleop8.6
End4.0
red by 6.4
3619
#25
15.50.4
16.016.5
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End2.0
Third
6089
#24
21.70.4
20.720.3
Auto6.3
Teleop11.4
End4.0
red by 6.3
5467
#22
15.40.4
13.313.8
Auto7.2
Teleop6.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed