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Red79
521726.4
526324.2
613614.4
Blue84
152819.9
360439.4
267615.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64742040801001207984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5217
#15
26.40.7
25.426.0
Auto10.1
Teleop12.3
End4.0
blue by 13.1
39.40.5
35.035.5
Auto9.4
Teleop21.1
End8.9
Second
5263
#28
24.20.7
24.725.4
Auto5.4
Teleop14.8
End4.0
red by 4.4
1528
#11
19.90.5
20.821.4
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End1.5
Third
6136
#39
14.40.7
14.014.7
Auto3.9
Teleop7.7
End2.9
blue by 0.9
2676
#32
15.40.5
15.015.6
Auto2.2
Teleop10.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed