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Red91
514425.6
521726.4
509030.2
Blue52
569520.9
553126.5
611623.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85742040601001201401609152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.4
29.429.8
Auto6.6
Teleop17.8
End5.7
red by 3.6
26.51.4
27.926.5
Auto7.9
Teleop13.6
End5.0
Second
5217
#15
26.40.4
26.026.4
Auto10.1
Teleop12.3
End4.0
red by 3.2
6116
#20
23.21.4
22.420.9
Auto7.3
Teleop11.3
End4.6
Third
5144
#19
25.60.4
25.225.6
Auto7.2
Teleop14.3
End4.1
red by 4.7
5695
#13
20.91.4
23.421.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed