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Red117
505331.3
170141.4
204822.3
Blue158
50331.5
309830.9
591522.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12287406080100140160180117158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.40.1
41.341.2
Auto9.3
Teleop22.3
End9.7
red by 9.8
503
#17
31.50.7
30.431.1
Auto7.9
Teleop15.7
End8.0
Second
31.30.1
31.231.1
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End4.3
red by 0.4
30.90.7
29.730.5
Auto5.9
Teleop17.9
End7.1
Third
2048
#28
22.30.1
22.222.1
Auto7.0
Teleop12.9
End2.4
red by 0.2
5915
#30
22.10.7
20.921.6
Auto8.5
Teleop11.9
End1.7