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Red140
505331.3
170141.4
204822.3
Blue113
50331.5
309830.9
591522.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12191406080100140160180140113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.40.0
41.441.4
Auto9.3
Teleop22.3
End9.7
red by 9.8
503
#17
31.50.1
31.531.5
Auto7.9
Teleop15.7
End8.0
Second
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End4.3
red by 0.4
30.90.1
30.830.9
Auto5.9
Teleop17.9
End7.1
Third
2048
#28
22.30.0
22.322.3
Auto7.0
Teleop12.9
End2.4
red by 0.2
5915
#30
22.10.1
22.022.1
Auto8.5
Teleop11.9
End1.7