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Red157
50331.5
309830.9
591522.1
Blue47
81521.1
363217.5
28023.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions937440608010012014015747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#17
31.50.5
29.530.0
Auto7.9
Teleop15.7
End8.0
red by 8.0
280
#21
23.60.4
23.923.6
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End8.1
Second
30.90.5
28.829.4
Auto5.9
Teleop17.9
End7.1
red by 9.8
815
#20
21.10.4
21.521.1
Auto2.9
Teleop13.3
End4.9
Third
5915
#30
22.10.5
20.020.5
Auto8.5
Teleop11.9
End1.7
red by 4.5
3632
#11
17.50.4
17.917.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End3.4