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Red80
118927.5
30968.9
45321.7
Blue30
506813.0
591522.1
609913.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514201001502008030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#10
27.51.8
22.524.3
Auto4.5
Teleop19.0
End4.0
red by 5.5
5915
#30
22.10.8
16.615.8
Auto8.5
Teleop11.9
End1.7
Second
453
#14
21.71.8
14.316.1
Auto5.8
Teleop11.8
End4.0
red by 8.3
6099
#29
13.41.4
10.49.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.3
Third
3096
#38
8.93.0
11.614.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.7
End1.4
blue by 4.1
5068
#31
13.01.4
15.414.0
Auto2.8
Teleop9.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsEarned31%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed