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Red70
363217.5
609613.9
468036.2
Blue110
505331.3
204822.3
118927.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions536902040608010012070110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.21.1
30.231.3
Auto9.1
Teleop20.1
End6.9
red by 4.9
31.33.0
25.128.1
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End4.3
Second
3632
#11
17.51.1
12.113.2
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End3.4
blue by 10.0
1189
#10
27.53.0
24.327.3
Auto4.5
Teleop19.0
End4.0
Third
6096
#32
13.91.8
11.413.2
Auto2.4
Teleop9.1
End2.4
blue by 8.4
2048
#28
22.33.0
15.118.1
Auto7.0
Teleop12.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed