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Red52
450712.1
81521.1
50331.5
Blue95
28023.6
547824.9
12330.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696840506080905295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#17
31.51.5
25.724.2
Auto7.9
Teleop15.7
End8.0
red by 1.4
123
#4
30.11.5
27.629.1
Auto10.5
Teleop15.2
End4.4
Second
815
#20
21.10.9
23.122.2
Auto2.9
Teleop13.3
End4.9
blue by 3.8
5478
#13
24.91.5
18.920.4
Auto7.8
Teleop12.8
End4.3
Third
4507
#36DQ
12.11.5
16.815.2
Auto1.5
Teleop8.6
End2.0
blue by 11.5
280
#21
23.61.5
20.922.4
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsMissed41%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed