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Red70
267325.2
468036.2
55326.9
Blue84
609913.4
555518.8
81830.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67510204060801001207084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.20.1
32.732.8
Auto9.1
Teleop20.1
End6.9
red by 5.3
818
#9
30.90.5
25.526.0
Auto7.1
Teleop19.0
End4.8
Second
2673
#16
25.20.2
24.024.2
Auto9.4
Teleop12.9
End3.0
red by 6.5
5555
#19
18.80.8
16.717.5
Auto4.4
Teleop11.7
End2.7
Third
5532
#33
6.90.2
6.36.5
Auto1.2
Teleop6.3
End-0.6
blue by 6.5
6099
#29
13.40.8
9.410.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed