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Red86
28023.6
481114.3
505331.3
Blue68
118927.5
521415.0
170141.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5984020401001201408668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.31.7
29.631.2
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End4.3
blue by 10.1
41.40.7
36.235.6
Auto9.3
Teleop22.3
End9.7
Second
280
#21
23.61.7
22.424.1
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End8.1
blue by 3.9
1189
#10
27.50.7
28.027.4
Auto4.5
Teleop19.0
End4.0
Third
4811
#27
14.32.8
8.811.6
Auto1.7
Teleop9.8
End2.7
blue by 0.7
5214
#39
15.01.1
13.712.6
Auto2.3
Teleop11.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsEarned52%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed