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Red40
317516.9
309830.9
30968.9
Blue104
204822.3
556732.7
24528.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4776020406010012014040104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.7
23.823.2
Auto5.9
Teleop17.9
End7.1
blue by 1.8
32.73.3
26.029.3
Auto8.6
Teleop16.5
End7.6
Second
3175
#25
16.90.7
16.215.5
Auto0.8
Teleop14.1
End2.1
blue by 11.5
245
#12
28.42.0
24.426.3
Auto6.9
Teleop19.1
End2.3
Third
3096
#38
8.91.1
9.98.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.7
End1.4
blue by 13.3
2048
#28
22.32.0
19.121.1
Auto7.0
Teleop12.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed