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Red55
361910.8
609613.9
556732.7
Blue99
317516.9
547824.9
562319.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605802040801001201405599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.3
29.329.0
Auto8.6
Teleop16.5
End7.6
red by 7.8
5478
#13
24.91.2
21.022.1
Auto7.8
Teleop12.8
End4.3
Second
6096
#32
13.90.3
11.311.0
Auto2.4
Teleop9.1
End2.4
blue by 5.7
5623
#23
19.52.0
19.921.9
Auto7.9
Teleop7.0
End4.7
Third
3619
#34
10.80.3
17.116.8
Auto2.1
Teleop8.6
End0.1
blue by 6.2
3175
#25
16.91.2
15.516.7
Auto0.8
Teleop14.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned28%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed