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Red80
547824.9
118927.5
481114.3
Blue52
562319.5
481518.7
24528.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62722040801001208052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#10
27.51.2
27.728.9
Auto4.5
Teleop19.0
End4.0
blue by 0.9
245
#12
28.41.4
27.926.5
Auto6.9
Teleop19.1
End2.3
Second
5478
#13
24.91.2
22.123.3
Auto7.8
Teleop12.8
End4.3
red by 5.3
5623
#23
19.52.2
21.919.6
Auto7.9
Teleop7.0
End4.7
Third
4811
#27
14.31.9
12.214.1
Auto1.7
Teleop9.8
End2.7
blue by 4.4
4815
#18
18.72.2
18.816.5
Auto3.7
Teleop12.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsEarned73%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed