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Red59
506813.0
564221.2
309830.9
Blue55
523910.2
170141.4
450712.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions477101001505955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.0
17.317.3
Auto5.9
Teleop17.9
End7.1
blue by 10.5
41.40.7
32.631.9
Auto9.3
Teleop22.3
End9.7
Second
5642
#22
21.20.0
16.416.4
Auto8.1
Teleop10.1
End3.0
red by 9.0
4507
#36
12.11.1
15.514.4
Auto1.5
Teleop8.6
End2.0
Third
5068
#31
13.00.0
15.515.4
Auto2.8
Teleop9.7
End0.5
red by 2.8
5239
#40
10.21.1
17.116.0
Auto2.8
Teleop5.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
28%Breach oddsMissed69%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed