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Red45
609613.9
609913.4
339822.0
Blue57
24528.4
363217.5
450712.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions486102040801001204557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3398
#15
22.00.3
22.021.7
Auto10.2
Teleop9.6
End2.3
blue by 6.4
245
#12
28.40.0
27.027.0
Auto6.9
Teleop19.1
End2.3
Second
6096
#32
13.90.3
13.513.2
Auto2.4
Teleop9.1
End2.4
blue by 3.6
3632
#11
17.50.0
18.118.1
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End3.4
Third
6099
#29
13.40.3
12.812.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.3
red by 1.3
4507
#36
12.10.0
11.811.8
Auto1.5
Teleop8.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsMissed40%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed